Date: 2008-09-04 07:05 am (UTC)
elf: Rainbow sparkly fairy (Default)
From: [personal profile] elf
She has 'em sewn up unless she makes some major mistake. Which is possible, given her lack of experience on the national scene; being in touch with rural middle-class values of the fundamentalist right is not the same as being in touch with urban upper-mid-class values of the same religious group.

What she considers "too important for compromise," and what she considers "negotiable," may clash with some of her current followers. I think she's trying very hard to say, "look at me, just like you--solid family that's been through a few rough spots but sticks together," without discussing what she actually believes about anything.

She likes being a vocal attention-grabber. I think the McCain handlers will work hard trying to keep her blue-collar small-town "quaintness" from being too visible.

Her supporters will continue to be vocal. Those she loses, will probably just mention quietly to their friends, "well, I just can't vote for her. Not voting for Obama, of course, but I may just stay home. Or vote for [write-in of choice]."
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